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Monetary Policy
Decomposing supply and demand driven inflation in Mexico: Evidence from sectoral analysis
Sectoral CPI analysis for Mexico (2006–2024): food dominates supply and demand inflation; services act as a demand floor; housing contributes negligibly.
Luis Fernando Colunga-Ramos
,
Zhengyang Chen
,
José Angel Perales Torres
PDF
DOI
Demystifying Monetary Policy Surprises: Fed Response to Financial Conditions and Wait-and-See for New Economic Data
Why monetary policy surprises are predictable: the Fed responds to financial conditions while taking a wait-and-see approach to economic data.
Zhengyang Chen
PDF
DOI
ResearchGate
From Disruption to Integration: Cryptocurrency Prices, Financial Fluctuations, and Macroeconomy
Crypto shocks explain 18% of equity, 27% of commodity, and 18% of long-horizon inflation variance — evidence of Bitcoin’s systemic importance.
Zhengyang Chen
PDF
DOI
Modeling Inflation Expectations in Forward-Looking Interest Rate and Money Growth Rules
In the vast majority of specifications of the foreward-looking policy feedback rule, money growth is a better policy indicator than a short-term interest rate.
Zhengyang Chen
,
Victor J. Valcarcel
PDF
DOI
A Granular Investigation on the Stability of Money Demand
The unstable money demand function can be a result of erroneous measure of money.
Zhengyang Chen
,
Victor J. Valcarcel
PDF
DOI
Monetary Transmission in Money Markets: The Not-So-Elusive Missing Piece of the Puzzle
Adding variables to a VAR model may not solve the price puzzle but changing the policy indicator does.
Zhengyang Chen
,
Victor J. Valcarcel
PDF
DOI
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